Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.020707 0.022231 0.023817 0.025592 0.027526 0.029570 0.031898
2024-10-27 0.018305 0.020522 0.022948 0.025810 0.029102 0.032784 0.037228
2024-11-03 0.016570 0.019185 0.022158 0.025807 0.030188 0.035304 0.041774
2024-11-10 0.015454 0.018367 0.021785 0.026121 0.031512 0.038047 0.046648
2024-11-17 0.014271 0.017330 0.021013 0.025814 0.031963 0.039656 0.050134
2024-11-24 0.013378 0.016557 0.020471 0.025699 0.032578 0.041433 0.053877
2024-12-01 0.012514 0.015746 0.019807 0.025349 0.032816 0.042677 0.056933
2024-12-08 0.011926 0.015242 0.019486 0.025399 0.033550 0.044583 0.060980
2024-12-15 0.011256 0.014584 0.018917 0.025062 0.033708 0.045673 0.063907
2024-12-22 0.010599 0.013904 0.018272 0.024571 0.033598 0.046350 0.066238
2024-12-29 0.010098 0.013406 0.017842 0.024342 0.033830 0.047502 0.069322
2025-01-05 0.009631 0.012929 0.017411 0.024079 0.033980 0.048522 0.072244
2025-01-12 0.009100 0.012342 0.016803 0.023535 0.033692 0.048879 0.074170
2025-01-19 0.008847 0.012136 0.016725 0.023757 0.034558 0.051034 0.079123
2025-01-26 0.008548 0.011848 0.016511 0.023761 0.035081 0.052674 0.083333
2025-02-02 0.008352 0.011698 0.016488 0.024046 0.036048 0.055065 0.088967
2025-02-09 0.008013 0.011323 0.016114 0.023768 0.036100 0.055963 0.092078
2025-02-16 0.007743 0.011039 0.015863 0.023664 0.036419 0.057310 0.096061
2025-02-23 0.007435 0.010685 0.015488 0.023346 0.036364 0.058016 0.098924
2025-03-02 0.007237 0.010490 0.015348 0.023392 0.036911 0.059771 0.103835
2025-03-09 0.006966 0.010171 0.015002 0.023086 0.036844 0.060445 0.106750
2025-03-16 0.006676 0.009814 0.014582 0.022640 0.036509 0.060623 0.108712
2025-03-23 0.006457 0.009559 0.014315 0.022432 0.036575 0.061514 0.112125